Category >> prediction market

Nov 11
2008

The Bailout will Fail (Part 2)

Posted by BalaamsAss in prediction marketIssue

BalaamsAss
 On September 25th, we posted Part 1 of  the analysis of the  $700 billion Wall Street bailout as it was being debated in the Congress. Much has happened since, and the subject needs to be revisited.

First the bailout, as originally presented, never happened. The Treasury is still setting up the facilities, and hiring the personnel, through which the proposed purchase of "toxic assets" is to be

Oct 27
2008

The Root Cause (of the Financial Crisis)

Posted by BalaamsAss in prediction marketNewsIssue

BalaamsAss
There is a striking pattern in the roughly 40 % plus fall of the US stock market since October 2007: downward slides followed by bounces, in turn followed by further slides, similar to the path of a ball bouncing down a stair. The pattern shows a remarkable consistency: each move downwards results from events internal to the economy: drops in employment, reductions of economic activity,
Mar 29
2008

Will Hillary Pull a Bull Moose?

Posted by BalaamsAss in prediction marketpledged delegatesHillaryDemocratic PrimaryClinton

BalaamsAss
The Democratic nomination race is close, but Barack Obama still has the lead in both delegates and popular votes. He has been somewhat damaged by the Jeremiah Wright fracas, but not nearly as much as his right-wing critics would like. There may well be, in fact, a backlash in his favor, in the sense that the intense attacks against him would have fired up more Obama supporters than they turned
Mar 27
2008

A Third Party: The Potential

Posted by BalaamsAss in prediction marketNewsIssue

BalaamsAss
How well are our traditional parties doing right now? The democrats have a civil war on their hands, with the Clinton and Obama factions at each other's throats. Senator Mc Cain, at best a tepid Republican choice, is wooing a reluctant right and attempting to pad his campaign coffers. In the meantime, the economy is going south, the wars drag on and somewhere between two thirds and three quarters
Mar 26
2008

What's the issue?

Posted by The Republican Revolution in Super Tuesdaysuper delegatesprediction marketPolitical Adspledged delegatesObamaNewsmyblogMitt RomneyMcCainIssueHuckabeeHillaryfundraisingDemocratic PrimarydebatesClintonBarack ObamaBarack

The Republican Revolution

If you are watching TV or listening to Radio, shut it off and start looking up where the candidates stand on the issues.

One thing we have, is a  race that is based on personalities, not on the issues and the things we are going to be living with for the next four to eight years. If you do see or hear some one bring up a candidate's positions, they are over ran with a slew of venom and/or

Mar 19
2008

Crumbling Markets - Part 2

Posted by BalaamsAss in prediction market

BalaamsAss
 In the previous column we have examined the causes of the current financial meltdown ("credit crunch") and their effect on the markets. In summary, the underlying cause is the proliferation of new financial "assets" or "financial instruments" which often have only a tenuous connection with any real, marketable collateral. Because the worth assigned to these assets contains a large amount of
Mar 18
2008

Why the Markets are Crumbling

Posted by BalaamsAss in prediction marketmyblog

BalaamsAss
 Anyone following the stock market cannot but feel that something is seriously out of joint. At this time last year the market was roaring ahead and the Dow (by some estimates) was headed for 16,000. Then the "subprime" problem showed up, eventually turning into a "credit crunch", which became a "crisis of confidence" now morphing  into a massive government bail-out of Wall Street. We have had
Feb 06
2008

Obama Raises $7.5 Mill Since Super Tuesday While Hillary Pulls A Mitt Romney

Posted by Vox Populi in Super Tuesdayprediction marketObamaHillaryfundraisingClintonBarack

Vox Populi

 Barack Obama has raked in a mind boggling $7.5 million in contributions so far just in the time since the polls closed on Super Tuesday.  He has probably shattered the single day  record of $6 million set by Ron Paul last year.                           

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Now contrast this with the email Hillary Clinton sent out yesterday asking supporters to send her $3 million in 3 days, setting this up